Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF show Munich's minimum temperature on August 27 likely falling between 15–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a high-pressure system. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enabling efficient heat loss from the surface. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 11–16°C because minor model variations in predicted wind speeds, residual moisture, or exact timing of the nocturnal low create genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with historical late-August variability above the 12.9°C climatological average. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 27%
12°C 25%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
14°C 27%
12°C 25%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF show Munich's minimum temperature on August 27 likely falling between 15–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a high-pressure system. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enabling efficient heat loss from the surface. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 11–16°C because minor model variations in predicted wind speeds, residual moisture, or exact timing of the nocturnal low create genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with historical late-August variability above the 12.9°C climatological average. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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