**Current forecast models indicate a partly cloudy night on August 31–September 1 with light west-to-northwest winds and no significant frontal systems, supporting overnight radiative cooling that produces minimum temperatures clustered around 12–15°C.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on daytime highs near 23–24°C and lows typically 13–14°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 37%, 14°C at 33%). Slight spread in outcomes arises from modest differences in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds during the predawn hours, when the daily minimum usually occurs. These conditions align with early-September climatology for Paris, where clear or broken skies under building high pressure often yield minima in this narrow band. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the most recent model runs and local observations that continue to favor 13–14°C as the narrow favorite while leaving room for small revisions from the final forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
13°C 38%
14°C 33%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
9°C or below
4%
10°C
10%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
33%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 38%
14°C 33%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
9°C or below
4%
10°C
10%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
33%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate a partly cloudy night on August 31–September 1 with light west-to-northwest winds and no significant frontal systems, supporting overnight radiative cooling that produces minimum temperatures clustered around 12–15°C.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on daytime highs near 23–24°C and lows typically 13–14°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 37%, 14°C at 33%). Slight spread in outcomes arises from modest differences in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds during the predawn hours, when the daily minimum usually occurs. These conditions align with early-September climatology for Paris, where clear or broken skies under building high pressure often yield minima in this narrow band. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the most recent model runs and local observations that continue to favor 13–14°C as the narrow favorite while leaving room for small revisions from the final forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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