Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and European models show Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 settling near 16–18°C under a mild westerly flow, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected to bottom out around dawn after daytime highs reach 25–29°C, consistent with the current warm air mass and absence of any incoming cold front. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 16°C (45%) and 15°C (26.5%) outcomes, while historical September 3 averages near 13°C highlight the above-normal warmth currently priced in. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
15°C 41%
16°C 28%
17°C 19%
11°C or below 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
15%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
15%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
19%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
15°C 41%
16°C 28%
17°C 19%
11°C or below 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
12°C
$20 Vol.
11%
13°C
$20 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$50 Vol.
27%
16°C
$333 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$41 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and European models show Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 settling near 16–18°C under a mild westerly flow, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected to bottom out around dawn after daytime highs reach 25–29°C, consistent with the current warm air mass and absence of any incoming cold front. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 16°C (45%) and 15°C (26.5%) outcomes, while historical September 3 averages near 13°C highlight the above-normal warmth currently priced in. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$479Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and European models show Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 settling near 16–18°C under a mild westerly flow, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected to bottom out around dawn after daytime highs reach 25–29°C, consistent with the current warm air mass and absence of any incoming cold front. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 16°C (45%) and 15°C (26.5%) outcomes, while historical September 3 averages near 13°C highlight the above-normal warmth currently priced in. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$479Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and European models show Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 settling near 16–18°C under a mild westerly flow, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected to bottom out around dawn after daytime highs reach 25–29°C, consistent with the current warm air mass and absence of any incoming cold front. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 16°C (45%) and 15°C (26.5%) outcomes, while historical September 3 averages near 13°C highlight the above-normal warmth currently priced in. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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