Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on August 26 point to a daily minimum temperature near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and elevated humidity, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea and late-summer warmth. This places the most likely outcome above the 22°C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds at 43%. Historical August lows average 22–24°C, so the elevated readings reflect persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders appear to assign meaningful weight to possible downward revisions in overnight model guidance or localized coastal effects that could bring readings into the low-to-mid 20s. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will be key before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
22°C or below 86%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 86%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on August 26 point to a daily minimum temperature near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and elevated humidity, driven by the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea and late-summer warmth. This places the most likely outcome above the 22°C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds at 43%. Historical August lows average 22–24°C, so the elevated readings reflect persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders appear to assign meaningful weight to possible downward revisions in overnight model guidance or localized coastal effects that could bring readings into the low-to-mid 20s. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will be key before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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