Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 14 will likely settle between 23–24 °C, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with light variable winds, moderate humidity around 70–85 %, and clear to partly cloudy skies. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C as the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places the average low near 23 °C, while current runs show little deviation from seasonal norms and no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the diurnal cooling profile. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official observational data, which model agreement suggests will fall squarely in this band absent an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
29°C or higher 50%
19°C or below 49%
25°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C or below
49%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
23%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
40%
26°C
36%
27°C
16%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
50%
29°C or higher 50%
19°C or below 49%
25°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C or below
49%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
23%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
40%
26°C
36%
27°C
16%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 14 will likely settle between 23–24 °C, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with light variable winds, moderate humidity around 70–85 %, and clear to partly cloudy skies. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C as the leading outcomes. Historical climatology places the average low near 23 °C, while current runs show little deviation from seasonal norms and no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the diurnal cooling profile. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official observational data, which model agreement suggests will fall squarely in this band absent an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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