Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds over Tel Aviv on September 13, supporting a daytime maximum near 31°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean climatology, where September highs typically range 28–32°C absent anomalous heat advection. Minor model spread around peak timing and urban heat effects positions 32°C as the market favorite, while the lower probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from any delayed warming or measurement variability at official stations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these implied odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
32°C 66%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
66%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
66%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds over Tel Aviv on September 13, supporting a daytime maximum near 31°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean climatology, where September highs typically range 28–32°C absent anomalous heat advection. Minor model spread around peak timing and urban heat effects positions 32°C as the market favorite, while the lower probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from any delayed warming or measurement variability at official stations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these implied odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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