Persistent high-pressure patterns and typical mid-August conditions in Tokyo are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 23–24°C on August 16. Official JMA guidance and extended-range models show overnight lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with historical August averages of approximately 24°C and ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or typhoon influences reinforce the narrow distribution around these values, with minimal probability assigned to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final data influencing resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
22°C 12%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
28%
24°C
49%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
22°C 12%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$417 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,028 Vol.
12%
23°C
$2,530 Vol.
28%
24°C
$1,598 Vol.
49%
25°C
$364 Vol.
7%
26°C
$124 Vol.
1%
27°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure patterns and typical mid-August conditions in Tokyo are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 23–24°C on August 16. Official JMA guidance and extended-range models show overnight lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with historical August averages of approximately 24°C and ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or typhoon influences reinforce the narrow distribution around these values, with minimal probability assigned to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final data influencing resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure patterns and typical mid-August conditions in Tokyo are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 23–24°C on August 16. Official JMA guidance and extended-range models show overnight lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with historical August averages of approximately 24°C and ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or typhoon influences reinforce the narrow distribution around these values, with minimal probability assigned to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final data influencing resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure patterns and typical mid-August conditions in Tokyo are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 23–24°C on August 16. Official JMA guidance and extended-range models show overnight lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with historical August averages of approximately 24°C and ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or typhoon influences reinforce the narrow distribution around these values, with minimal probability assigned to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final data influencing resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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