Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 13 around 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity near 45–55%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions and minimal overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this range through clustered probabilities near 19–23°C while the near-even split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine model uncertainty in exact overnight lows, possible urban heat-island influences at measurement sites, and typical forecast spread for a single-day minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average near 20°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal amid stable high pressure. Key upcoming inputs include updated runs from the National Meteorological Center of China and global ensembles, which could refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
15°C or below 65%
25°C or higher 62%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C or below
65%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C or higher
62%
15°C or below 65%
25°C or higher 62%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C or below
65%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C or higher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 13 around 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity near 45–55%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions and minimal overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this range through clustered probabilities near 19–23°C while the near-even split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine model uncertainty in exact overnight lows, possible urban heat-island influences at measurement sites, and typical forecast spread for a single-day minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average near 20°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal amid stable high pressure. Key upcoming inputs include updated runs from the National Meteorological Center of China and global ensembles, which could refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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