Google's May 2026 I/O announcement from CEO Sundar Pichai set the primary catalyst, signaling Gemini 3.5 Pro availability "next month" after teasing improvements to reasoning and agentic capabilities in the 3.x series. Traders have clustered bets around late June dates as Google iterates rapidly on large language models to match competitors, with no firm public timeline beyond that window. The modest 13.5% on no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of preview-to-stable transitions and recent deprecation notices for 2.5-series models, while the spread between June 23 and June 30 captures uncertainty around internal validation, benchmark validation, or potential alignment with developer ecosystem updates. Ongoing competitive pressure in multimodal and tool-use benchmarks keeps release momentum high but timelines fluid.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 30 32%
June 23 24%
No release by June 30 13.5%
June 22 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
2%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
24%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
32%
No release by June 30
13%
June 30 32%
June 23 24%
No release by June 30 13.5%
June 22 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
2%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
24%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
32%
No release by June 30
13%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 2026 I/O announcement from CEO Sundar Pichai set the primary catalyst, signaling Gemini 3.5 Pro availability "next month" after teasing improvements to reasoning and agentic capabilities in the 3.x series. Traders have clustered bets around late June dates as Google iterates rapidly on large language models to match competitors, with no firm public timeline beyond that window. The modest 13.5% on no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of preview-to-stable transitions and recent deprecation notices for 2.5-series models, while the spread between June 23 and June 30 captures uncertainty around internal validation, benchmark validation, or potential alignment with developer ecosystem updates. Ongoing competitive pressure in multimodal and tool-use benchmarks keeps release momentum high but timelines fluid.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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