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icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up

57% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO

Up

57% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s pending Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with pricing targeted for June 11 and first trading the following day, has generated intense demand reflected in a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise at $135 per share. The 30% retail allocation and low single-digit float amplify momentum from institutional syndication led by Goldman Sachs, supporting a modest edge for an upward open on day two as initial hype carries forward. However, the company’s $4.94 billion net loss and 93-times trailing sales multiple introduce valuation scrutiny that could trigger early profit-taking, keeping the implied probability for a second-day gain near 57.5% rather than a stronger consensus. Traders are weighing historical IPO pops against the risk of post-listing volatility in this record-sized offering.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volume
$1,246
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s pending Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with pricing targeted for June 11 and first trading the following day, has generated intense demand reflected in a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise at $135 per share. The 30% retail allocation and low single-digit float amplify momentum from institutional syndication led by Goldman Sachs, supporting a modest edge for an upward open on day two as initial hype carries forward. However, the company’s $4.94 billion net loss and 93-times trailing sales multiple introduce valuation scrutiny that could trigger early profit-taking, keeping the implied probability for a second-day gain near 57.5% rather than a stronger consensus. Traders are weighing historical IPO pops against the risk of post-listing volatility in this record-sized offering.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volume
$1,246
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 57% para sa "Up." Ang presyong 57% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 57% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

"SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" ay isang aktibong short-term market sa Polymarket. Maaaring mabilis na mag-accumulate ang trading volume habang umuusad ang araw-araw window — pumasok agad para tumulong sa pagtakda ng odds bago magsara ang window na ito.

Para mag-trade sa "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day sa tanghali ET ng ang resolution date ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day sa tanghali ET ng June 9. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" ay 57% para sa "Up," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 57% na tsansa na ang presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day ay magtatapos na up sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day sa tanghali ET ng ang resolution date kumpara sa tanghali ET ng June 9, gamit ang Binance SPACEX-IPO-OPEN-UPDOWN-ON-SECOND-DAY-20260608180600456/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa ang resolution date sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.