State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination in Texas by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, eliminating other Democratic pairings and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner on May 26. In the GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, trader consensus implies a 62% chance for Paxton based on his narrow 48%-45% edge among likely voters in the May 5 University of Houston poll, reflecting stronger base motivation despite Cornyn's superior fundraising. Escalating attack ads from both campaigns in recent days underscore the tight contest ahead of early voting, while general election surveys show Talarico leading both Republicans narrowly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas
Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas
Talarico at Paxton 63%
Talarico at Cornyn 38%
Crockett at Hunt <1%
Talarico at Hunt <1%
$721,404 Vol.
$721,404 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico at Paxton
63%
Talarico at Cornyn
38%
Crockett at Hunt
<1%
Talarico at Hunt
<1%
Crockett at Paxton
<1%
Crockett at Cornyn
<1%
Iba pa
<1%
Talarico at Paxton 63%
Talarico at Cornyn 38%
Crockett at Hunt <1%
Talarico at Hunt <1%
$721,404 Vol.
$721,404 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico at Paxton
$275,297 Vol.
63%
Talarico at Cornyn
$197,079 Vol.
38%
Crockett at Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico at Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett at Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett at Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Iba pa
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination in Texas by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, eliminating other Democratic pairings and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner on May 26. In the GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, trader consensus implies a 62% chance for Paxton based on his narrow 48%-45% edge among likely voters in the May 5 University of Houston poll, reflecting stronger base motivation despite Cornyn's superior fundraising. Escalating attack ads from both campaigns in recent days underscore the tight contest ahead of early voting, while general election surveys show Talarico leading both Republicans narrowly.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$721,404Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination in Texas by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, eliminating other Democratic pairings and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner on May 26. In the GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, trader consensus implies a 62% chance for Paxton based on his narrow 48%-45% edge among likely voters in the May 5 University of Houston poll, reflecting stronger base motivation despite Cornyn's superior fundraising. Escalating attack ads from both campaigns in recent days underscore the tight contest ahead of early voting, while general election surveys show Talarico leading both Republicans narrowly.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$721,404Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination in Texas by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, eliminating other Democratic pairings and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner on May 26. In the GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, trader consensus implies a 62% chance for Paxton based on his narrow 48%-45% edge among likely voters in the May 5 University of Houston poll, reflecting stronger base motivation despite Cornyn's superior fundraising. Escalating attack ads from both campaigns in recent days underscore the tight contest ahead of early voting, while general election surveys show Talarico leading both Republicans narrowly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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