**Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation stems from deep partisan divisions, industry pushback, and a packed calendar ahead of November midterms.** Multiple bipartisan proposals—including Senate efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar to impose duties of care and model reporting requirements—remain in negotiation without committee markups or floor votes scheduled. The House is set to recess this week until after the elections, limiting any window for passage, while President Trump has signaled opposition to measures he views as hindering U.S. competitiveness. Recent insider warnings about catastrophic risks have prompted fresh discussions and narrower bills on issues like biothreats or incident reporting, yet these have not produced the consensus needed for enactment before 2027. Traders price the low odds accordingly, reflecting the absence of imminent legislative momentum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
18% tsansa
$121,489 Vol.
$121,489 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
18% tsansa
$121,489 Vol.
$121,489 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation stems from deep partisan divisions, industry pushback, and a packed calendar ahead of November midterms.** Multiple bipartisan proposals—including Senate efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar to impose duties of care and model reporting requirements—remain in negotiation without committee markups or floor votes scheduled. The House is set to recess this week until after the elections, limiting any window for passage, while President Trump has signaled opposition to measures he views as hindering U.S. competitiveness. Recent insider warnings about catastrophic risks have prompted fresh discussions and narrower bills on issues like biothreats or incident reporting, yet these have not produced the consensus needed for enactment before 2027. Traders price the low odds accordingly, reflecting the absence of imminent legislative momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$121,489Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation stems from deep partisan divisions, industry pushback, and a packed calendar ahead of November midterms.** Multiple bipartisan proposals—including Senate efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar to impose duties of care and model reporting requirements—remain in negotiation without committee markups or floor votes scheduled. The House is set to recess this week until after the elections, limiting any window for passage, while President Trump has signaled opposition to measures he views as hindering U.S. competitiveness. Recent insider warnings about catastrophic risks have prompted fresh discussions and narrower bills on issues like biothreats or incident reporting, yet these have not produced the consensus needed for enactment before 2027. Traders price the low odds accordingly, reflecting the absence of imminent legislative momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,489Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation stems from deep partisan divisions, industry pushback, and a packed calendar ahead of November midterms.** Multiple bipartisan proposals—including Senate efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar to impose duties of care and model reporting requirements—remain in negotiation without committee markups or floor votes scheduled. The House is set to recess this week until after the elections, limiting any window for passage, while President Trump has signaled opposition to measures he views as hindering U.S. competitiveness. Recent insider warnings about catastrophic risks have prompted fresh discussions and narrower bills on issues like biothreats or incident reporting, yet these have not produced the consensus needed for enactment before 2027. Traders price the low odds accordingly, reflecting the absence of imminent legislative momentum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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