US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$1,298,270 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Hunyo 30
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
Hunyo 30
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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