President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed by the Chinese foreign ministry on May 11 as spanning May 13-15, has traders pricing a May 15 departure at 99.6%, aligning precisely with the official itinerary published in advance. He departed Washington on May 12, arrived in Beijing on May 13, and held bilateral talks plus a state banquet with Xi Jinping on May 14 amid discussions on trade, Iran oil sanctions, and US-China relations. This commanding consensus reflects the White House schedule showing his return from Beijing Capital International Airport that day, with no reports of extensions. Only extraordinary developments like prolonged summit negotiations, health issues, or logistical delays could shift odds, though none have emerged in the past 24 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 99.6%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$132,242 Vol.
$132,242 Vol.
May 20, 2026
May 14
<1%
May 15
100%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
After May 18
<1%
May 15 99.6%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$132,242 Vol.
$132,242 Vol.
May 20, 2026
May 14
$39,410 Vol.
<1%
May 15
$34,267 Vol.
100%
May 16
$24,772 Vol.
1%
May 17
$8,104 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
After May 18
$5,836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed by the Chinese foreign ministry on May 11 as spanning May 13-15, has traders pricing a May 15 departure at 99.6%, aligning precisely with the official itinerary published in advance. He departed Washington on May 12, arrived in Beijing on May 13, and held bilateral talks plus a state banquet with Xi Jinping on May 14 amid discussions on trade, Iran oil sanctions, and US-China relations. This commanding consensus reflects the White House schedule showing his return from Beijing Capital International Airport that day, with no reports of extensions. Only extraordinary developments like prolonged summit negotiations, health issues, or logistical delays could shift odds, though none have emerged in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$132,242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed by the Chinese foreign ministry on May 11 as spanning May 13-15, has traders pricing a May 15 departure at 99.6%, aligning precisely with the official itinerary published in advance. He departed Washington on May 12, arrived in Beijing on May 13, and held bilateral talks plus a state banquet with Xi Jinping on May 14 amid discussions on trade, Iran oil sanctions, and US-China relations. This commanding consensus reflects the White House schedule showing his return from Beijing Capital International Airport that day, with no reports of extensions. Only extraordinary developments like prolonged summit negotiations, health issues, or logistical delays could shift odds, though none have emerged in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$132,242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed by the Chinese foreign ministry on May 11 as spanning May 13-15, has traders pricing a May 15 departure at 99.6%, aligning precisely with the official itinerary published in advance. He departed Washington on May 12, arrived in Beijing on May 13, and held bilateral talks plus a state banquet with Xi Jinping on May 14 amid discussions on trade, Iran oil sanctions, and US-China relations. This commanding consensus reflects the White House schedule showing his return from Beijing Capital International Airport that day, with no reports of extensions. Only extraordinary developments like prolonged summit negotiations, health issues, or logistical delays could shift odds, though none have emerged in the past 24 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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