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icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

Andy Burnham 48.0%

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026 27%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 7%

Polymarket

$7,072,955 Vol.

Andy Burnham 48.0%

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026 27%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 7%

Polymarket

$7,072,955 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$550,699 Vol.

48%

icon for Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026

$354,967 Vol.

27%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$460,893 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$277,832 Vol.

7%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$311,159 Vol.

5%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$204,800 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$803,384 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$290,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$280,498 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$292,949 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$447,993 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$317,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$34,080 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$192,843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$133,290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$641,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$373,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$295,985 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$209,528 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have centered on a deepening leadership crisis within the Labour Party after weak local election results, prompting Health Secretary Wes Streeting to resign from the cabinet and Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to pursue a by-election route back into Parliament. This sequence of events has elevated Burnham to the leading position in trader assessments, reflecting his established national profile and support among some MPs for a potential challenge to Keir Starmer. Angela Rayner’s clearance on prior tax matters and positioning for a bid further contribute to the distribution, while “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer retains the role through year-end amid party rules requiring formal nominations and parliamentary returns. Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband and others trail as secondary figures whose prospects depend on how any contest timetable unfolds.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,072,955
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have centered on a deepening leadership crisis within the Labour Party after weak local election results, prompting Health Secretary Wes Streeting to resign from the cabinet and Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to pursue a by-election route back into Parliament. This sequence of events has elevated Burnham to the leading position in trader assessments, reflecting his established national profile and support among some MPs for a potential challenge to Keir Starmer. Angela Rayner’s clearance on prior tax matters and positioning for a bid further contribute to the distribution, while “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer retains the role through year-end amid party rules requiring formal nominations and parliamentary returns. Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband and others trail as secondary figures whose prospects depend on how any contest timetable unfolds.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,072,955
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Andy Burnham" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $7.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay "Andy Burnham" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.