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icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

BAGO
Jul 17, 2026
Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Polymarket

July 17

$1 Vol.

46%

July 31

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "July 31" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "July 17" sa 46%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 29, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Vučić officially leaves office by…?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" ay "July 31" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "July 17" sa 46%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.