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Heopolitika·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Heopolitika·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$329,581 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$329,581 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for North Korea

North Korea

$30,299 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$47,290 Vol.

1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$19,169 Vol.

3%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$44,396 Vol.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$17,200 Vol.

1%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$26,409 Vol.

2%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$7,225 Vol.

1%

icon for Syria

Syria

$12,783 Vol.

3%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$86,323 Vol.

2%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$1,238 Vol.

1%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$2,244 Vol.

2%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$9,054 Vol.

1%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$22,158 Vol.

1%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$2,280 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices low probabilities for any new country recognizing Israel by June 30, 2026—with Lebanon at 4% and Saudi Arabia at 3%—reflecting no official announcements since the market's November 20, 2025, start amid entrenched geopolitical barriers. An April 2026 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire and direct talks referenced a 1983 unfulfilled agreement on recognition but yielded no normalization steps, constrained by Hezbollah's influence and public opposition. Saudi Arabia's potential remains stalled post-Abraham Accords expansions, deterred by Palestinian statehood recognitions from Western allies like the UK, Canada, and Australia in 2025. Holdout nations, mostly ideologically opposed Muslim-majority states, face domestic pressures; no scheduled diplomatic summits signal shifts before the deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$329,581
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices low probabilities for any new country recognizing Israel by June 30, 2026—with Lebanon at 4% and Saudi Arabia at 3%—reflecting no official announcements since the market's November 20, 2025, start amid entrenched geopolitical barriers. An April 2026 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire and direct talks referenced a 1983 unfulfilled agreement on recognition but yielded no normalization steps, constrained by Hezbollah's influence and public opposition. Saudi Arabia's potential remains stalled post-Abraham Accords expansions, deterred by Palestinian statehood recognitions from Western allies like the UK, Canada, and Australia in 2025. Holdout nations, mostly ideologically opposed Muslim-majority states, face domestic pressures; no scheduled diplomatic summits signal shifts before the deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$329,581
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "North Korea" sa 4%, sinusundan ng "Lebanon" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 4¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 4% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $329.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 20, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay "North Korea" sa 4% lang, na may "Lebanon" na malapit sa likod sa 4%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.