Ongoing military exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah continue to undermine a U.S.-brokered temporary ceasefire in Lebanon, initially agreed on April 16, 2026, and extended by three weeks to early May amid accusations of violations from both sides. Israel demands Hezbollah's full disarmament and maintains a reinforced security zone south of the Litani River, while Hezbollah insists on complete Israeli withdrawal and prisoner releases before any lasting accord. As of May 13, the IDF reported destroying multiple Hezbollah rocket launchers and eliminating 15 operatives in southern Lebanon, signaling persistent escalation despite diplomatic efforts. No permanent peace deal has materialized, with trader consensus reflecting deep mistrust and unresolved core demands; further talks remain possible but hinge on de-escalation signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
$161,991 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
3%
$161,991 Vol.
May 31
$84,909 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah continue to undermine a U.S.-brokered temporary ceasefire in Lebanon, initially agreed on April 16, 2026, and extended by three weeks to early May amid accusations of violations from both sides. Israel demands Hezbollah's full disarmament and maintains a reinforced security zone south of the Litani River, while Hezbollah insists on complete Israeli withdrawal and prisoner releases before any lasting accord. As of May 13, the IDF reported destroying multiple Hezbollah rocket launchers and eliminating 15 operatives in southern Lebanon, signaling persistent escalation despite diplomatic efforts. No permanent peace deal has materialized, with trader consensus reflecting deep mistrust and unresolved core demands; further talks remain possible but hinge on de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Volume
$161,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah continue to undermine a U.S.-brokered temporary ceasefire in Lebanon, initially agreed on April 16, 2026, and extended by three weeks to early May amid accusations of violations from both sides. Israel demands Hezbollah's full disarmament and maintains a reinforced security zone south of the Litani River, while Hezbollah insists on complete Israeli withdrawal and prisoner releases before any lasting accord. As of May 13, the IDF reported destroying multiple Hezbollah rocket launchers and eliminating 15 operatives in southern Lebanon, signaling persistent escalation despite diplomatic efforts. No permanent peace deal has materialized, with trader consensus reflecting deep mistrust and unresolved core demands; further talks remain possible but hinge on de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah continue to undermine a U.S.-brokered temporary ceasefire in Lebanon, initially agreed on April 16, 2026, and extended by three weeks to early May amid accusations of violations from both sides. Israel demands Hezbollah's full disarmament and maintains a reinforced security zone south of the Litani River, while Hezbollah insists on complete Israeli withdrawal and prisoner releases before any lasting accord. As of May 13, the IDF reported destroying multiple Hezbollah rocket launchers and eliminating 15 operatives in southern Lebanon, signaling persistent escalation despite diplomatic efforts. No permanent peace deal has materialized, with trader consensus reflecting deep mistrust and unresolved core demands; further talks remain possible but hinge on de-escalation signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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