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Where will it rain on August 9?

icon for Where will it rain on August 9?

Where will it rain on August 9?

BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
Polymarket

$3 Vol.

Polymarket

Singapore

$0 Vol.

49%

Jakarta

$0 Vol.

50%

Mumbai

$0 Vol.

51%

Manila

$0 Vol.

50%

Tokyo

$0 Vol.

51%

Lagos

$0 Vol.

49%

Bangkok

$0 Vol.

50%

Hong Kong

$0 Vol.

51%

Seoul (Incheon)

$0 Vol.

51%

Taipei

$0 Vol.

51%

Colombo

$0 Vol.

50%

Dhaka

$0 Vol.

50%

Kuala Lumpur

$0 Vol.

50%

London

$0 Vol.

49%

Dubai

$3 Vol.

32%

São Paulo

$0 Vol.

49%

Sydney

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".A frontal boundary is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the central and eastern United States through the weekend, while high pressure maintains hot, mostly dry conditions from the Intermountain West into the central Plains. NOAA's 6–10 day outlook for August 9–13 indicates near- to above-normal rainfall probabilities over most of the contiguous U.S., with the highest chances tied to this frontal activity, contrasted by drier-than-normal conditions from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Short-range models show 20–40% precipitation probabilities in the Midwest and Northeast on the 9th, with lower odds farther west; these can shift with overnight model runs from the National Weather Service. Traders should monitor updated NWS local forecasts and quantitative precipitation outlooks for resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$3
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".A frontal boundary is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the central and eastern United States through the weekend, while high pressure maintains hot, mostly dry conditions from the Intermountain West into the central Plains. NOAA's 6–10 day outlook for August 9–13 indicates near- to above-normal rainfall probabilities over most of the contiguous U.S., with the highest chances tied to this frontal activity, contrasted by drier-than-normal conditions from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Short-range models show 20–40% precipitation probabilities in the Midwest and Northeast on the 9th, with lower odds farther west; these can shift with overnight model runs from the National Weather Service. Traders should monitor updated NWS local forecasts and quantitative precipitation outlooks for resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$3
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Where will it rain on August 9?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Seoul (Incheon)" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Mumbai" sa 51%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Where will it rain on August 9?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 6, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Where will it rain on August 9?," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Where will it rain on August 9?" ay "Seoul (Incheon)" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mumbai" sa 51%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Where will it rain on August 9?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.