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Politika·Mga Pandaigdigang Gawain

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Politika·Mga Pandaigdigang Gawain

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

36% tsansa
Polymarket

$13,235 Vol.

36% tsansa
Polymarket

$13,235 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's composition, featuring a notable bloc aligned with Vice President Sara Duterte and her family amid the Marcos-Duterte political rift, forms the core driver behind traders assigning a 64.5% probability against conviction by December 31, 2026. The House transmitted articles of impeachment on betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and constitutional violations in May 2026 after a 257-25 vote, with the trial opening July 6 and now in its procedural phase involving bank record subpoenas and debates over the 16-vote threshold among senator-judges. Some senators face detention or legal impediments, prompting amicus input on voting eligibility, while the extended schedule—projected well into 2027—limits resolution prospects within the market window. These Senate alignments and procedural hurdles sustain the prevailing trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,235
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's composition, featuring a notable bloc aligned with Vice President Sara Duterte and her family amid the Marcos-Duterte political rift, forms the core driver behind traders assigning a 64.5% probability against conviction by December 31, 2026. The House transmitted articles of impeachment on betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and constitutional violations in May 2026 after a 257-25 vote, with the trial opening July 6 and now in its procedural phase involving bank record subpoenas and debates over the 16-vote threshold among senator-judges. Some senators face detention or legal impediments, prompting amicus input on voting eligibility, while the extended schedule—projected well into 2027—limits resolution prospects within the market window. These Senate alignments and procedural hurdles sustain the prevailing trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,235
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 36% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 36¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 36% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" ay naka-generate ng $13.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" ay 36% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 36% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.