The 84% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will not be repealed before 2027 reflects stalled legislative efforts and limited remaining time. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and WAGER Act were introduced after the provision’s 2025 enactment, drawing support from senators including Cruz, Hagerty, Rosen, and Cortez Masto, yet none advanced to passage amid competing priorities. A May 2026 letter from Dana White to President Trump briefly lifted related market odds before they retreated, with no subsequent floor votes or committee breakthroughs reported. The change is already in effect for tax year 2026, and revenue considerations plus the compressed congressional calendar through year-end further reduce near-term reversal prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено16% шанс
$71,078 Обс.
$71,078 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
16% шанс
$71,078 Обс.
$71,078 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 84% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will not be repealed before 2027 reflects stalled legislative efforts and limited remaining time. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and WAGER Act were introduced after the provision’s 2025 enactment, drawing support from senators including Cruz, Hagerty, Rosen, and Cortez Masto, yet none advanced to passage amid competing priorities. A May 2026 letter from Dana White to President Trump briefly lifted related market odds before they retreated, with no subsequent floor votes or committee breakthroughs reported. The change is already in effect for tax year 2026, and revenue considerations plus the compressed congressional calendar through year-end further reduce near-term reversal prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$71,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 84% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will not be repealed before 2027 reflects stalled legislative efforts and limited remaining time. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and WAGER Act were introduced after the provision’s 2025 enactment, drawing support from senators including Cruz, Hagerty, Rosen, and Cortez Masto, yet none advanced to passage amid competing priorities. A May 2026 letter from Dana White to President Trump briefly lifted related market odds before they retreated, with no subsequent floor votes or committee breakthroughs reported. The change is already in effect for tax year 2026, and revenue considerations plus the compressed congressional calendar through year-end further reduce near-term reversal prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$71,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 84% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will not be repealed before 2027 reflects stalled legislative efforts and limited remaining time. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and WAGER Act were introduced after the provision’s 2025 enactment, drawing support from senators including Cruz, Hagerty, Rosen, and Cortez Masto, yet none advanced to passage amid competing priorities. A May 2026 letter from Dana White to President Trump briefly lifted related market odds before they retreated, with no subsequent floor votes or committee breakthroughs reported. The change is already in effect for tax year 2026, and revenue considerations plus the compressed congressional calendar through year-end further reduce near-term reversal prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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