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icon for Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

icon for Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

88% шанс
Polymarket

$130,590 Обс.

88% шанс
Polymarket

$130,590 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Recent signature collection has positioned the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act as a strong contender for California's November ballot. Proponents led by the Service Employees International Union-United Healthcare Workers West submitted more than 1.5 million valid signatures in late April, surpassing the roughly 875,000 required threshold by a wide margin and triggering official verification. The initiative proposes a one-time 5 percent levy on the net worth of state residents above $1 billion, with proceeds earmarked for healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. This development reflects organized labor's sustained petition drive amid opposition spending from technology executives and public statements from Governor Gavin Newsom. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates the surplus signatures and historical patterns of qualification for well-funded initiatives, while acknowledging remaining procedural steps before final certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$130,590
Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Recent signature collection has positioned the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act as a strong contender for California's November ballot. Proponents led by the Service Employees International Union-United Healthcare Workers West submitted more than 1.5 million valid signatures in late April, surpassing the roughly 875,000 required threshold by a wide margin and triggering official verification. The initiative proposes a one-time 5 percent levy on the net worth of state residents above $1 billion, with proceeds earmarked for healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. This development reflects organized labor's sustained petition drive amid opposition spending from technology executives and public statements from Governor Gavin Newsom. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates the surplus signatures and historical patterns of qualification for well-funded initiatives, while acknowledging remaining procedural steps before final certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$130,590
Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 88% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 88¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 88%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?» згенерував $130.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 24, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?» — 88% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 88% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.