Recent polling trends position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent, well short of the outright majority needed on May 31. This leaves the contest for the second runoff spot between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia as the decisive factor shaping trader odds. De la Espriella has maintained a modest edge in most late-April and mid-May surveys, while Valencia has narrowed the gap after strong primary performance but trails amid recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella's campaign rhetoric. Ongoing security incidents, including attacks on campaign personnel, and voter priorities on crime and governance have reinforced the current alignment, with traders pricing a Cepeda-de la Espriella runoff as the most probable outcome ahead of the June 21 second round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.9%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,898 Обс.
$12,898 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.9%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,898 Обс.
$12,898 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,330 Обс.
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,327 Обс.
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 Обс.
4%
Other
$1,893 Обс.
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 Обс.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent, well short of the outright majority needed on May 31. This leaves the contest for the second runoff spot between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia as the decisive factor shaping trader odds. De la Espriella has maintained a modest edge in most late-April and mid-May surveys, while Valencia has narrowed the gap after strong primary performance but trails amid recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella's campaign rhetoric. Ongoing security incidents, including attacks on campaign personnel, and voter priorities on crime and governance have reinforced the current alignment, with traders pricing a Cepeda-de la Espriella runoff as the most probable outcome ahead of the June 21 second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,898Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent, well short of the outright majority needed on May 31. This leaves the contest for the second runoff spot between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia as the decisive factor shaping trader odds. De la Espriella has maintained a modest edge in most late-April and mid-May surveys, while Valencia has narrowed the gap after strong primary performance but trails amid recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella's campaign rhetoric. Ongoing security incidents, including attacks on campaign personnel, and voter priorities on crime and governance have reinforced the current alignment, with traders pricing a Cepeda-de la Espriella runoff as the most probable outcome ahead of the June 21 second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Обсяг
$12,898Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent, well short of the outright majority needed on May 31. This leaves the contest for the second runoff spot between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia as the decisive factor shaping trader odds. De la Espriella has maintained a modest edge in most late-April and mid-May surveys, while Valencia has narrowed the gap after strong primary performance but trails amid recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella's campaign rhetoric. Ongoing security incidents, including attacks on campaign personnel, and voter priorities on crime and governance have reinforced the current alignment, with traders pricing a Cepeda-de la Espriella runoff as the most probable outcome ahead of the June 21 second round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання