Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 83%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
83%
1st Round Outright Winner
10%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 83%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,659 Обс.
83%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,811 Обс.
10%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 Обс.
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,304 Обс.
<1%
Other
$1,031 Обс.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,960Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Обсяг
$9,960Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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