The tight 38.5% odds on both the 160-179 and 180-199 tweet ranges reflect traders' view of Elon Musk's typical weekly volume on X, shaped by his pattern of 20-25 posts per day amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. Recent industry developments, including product announcements and public commentary on tech policy, have sustained steady activity without major spikes or lulls that would push totals into higher or lower brackets. With two days left in the August 11-18 window, any late-breaking company news or viral threads could shift momentum toward the upper end of the favored ranges, while a quieter close would favor the lower bin. Historical precedent shows Musk's output fluctuates with real-time events rather than following rigid schedules.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено160-179 39%
180-199 39%
200-219 13%
140-159 9.2%
$1,549,966 Обс.
$1,549,966 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
9%
160-179
39%
180-199
39%
200-219
13%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 39%
180-199 39%
200-219 13%
140-159 9.2%
$1,549,966 Обс.
$1,549,966 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
120-139
$215,970 Обс.
<1%
140-159
$202,977 Обс.
9%
160-179
$131,235 Обс.
39%
180-199
$93,315 Обс.
39%
200-219
$77,790 Обс.
13%
220-239
$75,551 Обс.
3%
240-259
$92,892 Обс.
1%
260-279
$83,060 Обс.
<1%
280-299
$84,658 Обс.
<1%
300-319
$82,750 Обс.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Обс.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Обс.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The tight 38.5% odds on both the 160-179 and 180-199 tweet ranges reflect traders' view of Elon Musk's typical weekly volume on X, shaped by his pattern of 20-25 posts per day amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. Recent industry developments, including product announcements and public commentary on tech policy, have sustained steady activity without major spikes or lulls that would push totals into higher or lower brackets. With two days left in the August 11-18 window, any late-breaking company news or viral threads could shift momentum toward the upper end of the favored ranges, while a quieter close would favor the lower bin. Historical precedent shows Musk's output fluctuates with real-time events rather than following rigid schedules.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,549,966Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The tight 38.5% odds on both the 160-179 and 180-199 tweet ranges reflect traders' view of Elon Musk's typical weekly volume on X, shaped by his pattern of 20-25 posts per day amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. Recent industry developments, including product announcements and public commentary on tech policy, have sustained steady activity without major spikes or lulls that would push totals into higher or lower brackets. With two days left in the August 11-18 window, any late-breaking company news or viral threads could shift momentum toward the upper end of the favored ranges, while a quieter close would favor the lower bin. Historical precedent shows Musk's output fluctuates with real-time events rather than following rigid schedules.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,549,966Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight 38.5% odds on both the 160-179 and 180-199 tweet ranges reflect traders' view of Elon Musk's typical weekly volume on X, shaped by his pattern of 20-25 posts per day amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. Recent industry developments, including product announcements and public commentary on tech policy, have sustained steady activity without major spikes or lulls that would push totals into higher or lower brackets. With two days left in the August 11-18 window, any late-breaking company news or viral threads could shift momentum toward the upper end of the favored ranges, while a quieter close would favor the lower bin. Historical precedent shows Musk's output fluctuates with real-time events rather than following rigid schedules.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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