Recent meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 5 high, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and diurnal heating under stable high pressure. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs show daytime maxima near 28–30°C, with minimal moisture and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. Light winds and clear to scattered cloud conditions favor efficient surface warming without excessive mixing or cooling. Traders appear to weight the 29°C bin most heavily because it aligns with the central tendency across updated model guidance, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing ahead of final forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 16%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
9%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
6%
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 16%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$0 Обс.
6%
27°C
$27 Обс.
9%
28°C
$196 Обс.
27%
29°C
$21 Обс.
50%
30°C
$49 Обс.
16%
31°C
$30 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 5 high, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and diurnal heating under stable high pressure. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs show daytime maxima near 28–30°C, with minimal moisture and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. Light winds and clear to scattered cloud conditions favor efficient surface warming without excessive mixing or cooling. Traders appear to weight the 29°C bin most heavily because it aligns with the central tendency across updated model guidance, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing ahead of final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$322Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 5 high, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and diurnal heating under stable high pressure. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs show daytime maxima near 28–30°C, with minimal moisture and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. Light winds and clear to scattered cloud conditions favor efficient surface warming without excessive mixing or cooling. Traders appear to weight the 29°C bin most heavily because it aligns with the central tendency across updated model guidance, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing ahead of final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$322Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts position 29°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 5 high, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and diurnal heating under stable high pressure. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs show daytime maxima near 28–30°C, with minimal moisture and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. Light winds and clear to scattered cloud conditions favor efficient surface warming without excessive mixing or cooling. Traders appear to weight the 29°C bin most heavily because it aligns with the central tendency across updated model guidance, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing ahead of final forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання