Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara's September 4 peak will likely reach 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and low humidity that favors daytime radiative heating. Recent days with highs near 30°C have given way to slightly cooler advection, narrowing the range while keeping 28°C (41% implied probability) and 29°C (36.5%) as the dominant outcomes. Minor model spread on afternoon cloud timing and wind gusts creates the tight 27–30°C bracket, with resolution depending on official station readings at the warmest hour. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final peak before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
28°C 41%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
14%
28°C
41%
29°C
37%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$310 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$135 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$319 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$884 Обс.
14%
28°C
$972 Обс.
41%
29°C
$2,366 Обс.
37%
30°C
$542 Обс.
9%
31°C
$240 Обс.
1%
32°C
$189 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$271 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$277 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara's September 4 peak will likely reach 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and low humidity that favors daytime radiative heating. Recent days with highs near 30°C have given way to slightly cooler advection, narrowing the range while keeping 28°C (41% implied probability) and 29°C (36.5%) as the dominant outcomes. Minor model spread on afternoon cloud timing and wind gusts creates the tight 27–30°C bracket, with resolution depending on official station readings at the warmest hour. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final peak before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,505Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara's September 4 peak will likely reach 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and low humidity that favors daytime radiative heating. Recent days with highs near 30°C have given way to slightly cooler advection, narrowing the range while keeping 28°C (41% implied probability) and 29°C (36.5%) as the dominant outcomes. Minor model spread on afternoon cloud timing and wind gusts creates the tight 27–30°C bracket, with resolution depending on official station readings at the warmest hour. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final peak before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,505Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara's September 4 peak will likely reach 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and low humidity that favors daytime radiative heating. Recent days with highs near 30°C have given way to slightly cooler advection, narrowing the range while keeping 28°C (41% implied probability) and 29°C (36.5%) as the dominant outcomes. Minor model spread on afternoon cloud timing and wind gusts creates the tight 27–30°C bracket, with resolution depending on official station readings at the warmest hour. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final peak before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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