Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models, project a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote radiative nighttime cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 15–17°C amid typical seasonal transition patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no incoming fronts, significant moisture, or anomalous circulation expected to drive deviations. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50.5% implied probability likely incorporates historical variability and potential forecast revisions, while warmer buckets such as 24°C-or-higher at 29.5% reflect lower assessed likelihood given the stable guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term data points that could shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
24°C or higher 59%
14°C or below 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
51%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C
17%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
59%
24°C or higher 59%
14°C or below 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
51%
15°C
$0 Обс.
26%
16°C
$0 Обс.
25%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$5 Обс.
49%
19°C
$5 Обс.
28%
20°C
$5 Обс.
19%
21°C
$5 Обс.
4%
22°C
$5 Обс.
17%
23°C
$5 Обс.
8%
24°C or higher
$5 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models, project a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote radiative nighttime cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 15–17°C amid typical seasonal transition patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no incoming fronts, significant moisture, or anomalous circulation expected to drive deviations. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50.5% implied probability likely incorporates historical variability and potential forecast revisions, while warmer buckets such as 24°C-or-higher at 29.5% reflect lower assessed likelihood given the stable guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models, project a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote radiative nighttime cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 15–17°C amid typical seasonal transition patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no incoming fronts, significant moisture, or anomalous circulation expected to drive deviations. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50.5% implied probability likely incorporates historical variability and potential forecast revisions, while warmer buckets such as 24°C-or-higher at 29.5% reflect lower assessed likelihood given the stable guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models, project a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that promote radiative nighttime cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 15–17°C amid typical seasonal transition patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no incoming fronts, significant moisture, or anomalous circulation expected to drive deviations. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50.5% implied probability likely incorporates historical variability and potential forecast revisions, while warmer buckets such as 24°C-or-higher at 29.5% reflect lower assessed likelihood given the stable guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term data points that could shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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