Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
11°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
94%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
2%
19°C
43%
20°C or higher
59%
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
11°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
11°C
$0 Обс.
48%
12°C
$0 Обс.
48%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
49%
16°C
$0 Обс.
48%
17°C
$0 Обс.
48%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
43%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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