Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 19%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
53%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 19%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
6%
28°C
$35 Обс.
6%
29°C
$64 Обс.
27%
30°C
$180 Обс.
53%
31°C
$229 Обс.
19%
32°C
$133 Обс.
4%
33°C
$34 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$61 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$782Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$782Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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