Trader sentiment for Ankara's September 5 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around 15–16°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. Recent forecasts from agencies show stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 10°C, supporting efficient heat loss after the prior day's 28–30°C highs. The 13°C-or-below outcome leads slightly because some ensemble runs allow for marginally stronger cooling if winds drop further or urban heat-island effects are weaker than typical. In contrast, 14–16°C probabilities cluster tightly due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical September lows average near 14°C, but current dry, calm regime tilts toward the mid-teens absent any frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
13°C or below 35%
14°C 34%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
35%
14°C
34%
15°C
63%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 35%
14°C 34%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Обс.
35%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$88 Обс.
63%
16°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$97 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$43 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Ankara's September 5 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around 15–16°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. Recent forecasts from agencies show stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 10°C, supporting efficient heat loss after the prior day's 28–30°C highs. The 13°C-or-below outcome leads slightly because some ensemble runs allow for marginally stronger cooling if winds drop further or urban heat-island effects are weaker than typical. In contrast, 14–16°C probabilities cluster tightly due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical September lows average near 14°C, but current dry, calm regime tilts toward the mid-teens absent any frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$602Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Ankara's September 5 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around 15–16°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. Recent forecasts from agencies show stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 10°C, supporting efficient heat loss after the prior day's 28–30°C highs. The 13°C-or-below outcome leads slightly because some ensemble runs allow for marginally stronger cooling if winds drop further or urban heat-island effects are weaker than typical. In contrast, 14–16°C probabilities cluster tightly due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical September lows average near 14°C, but current dry, calm regime tilts toward the mid-teens absent any frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$602Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Ankara's September 5 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around 15–16°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. Recent forecasts from agencies show stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 10°C, supporting efficient heat loss after the prior day's 28–30°C highs. The 13°C-or-below outcome leads slightly because some ensemble runs allow for marginally stronger cooling if winds drop further or urban heat-island effects are weaker than typical. In contrast, 14–16°C probabilities cluster tightly due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical September lows average near 14°C, but current dry, calm regime tilts toward the mid-teens absent any frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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