Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on July 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 17?
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
81°F or below
$105 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$110 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$5 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
4%
88-89°F
$11 Обс.
7%
90-91°F
$4 Обс.
18%
92-93°F
$93 Обс.
53%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
28%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
7%
100°F or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$333Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$333Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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