Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
24%
31°C
41%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$1,907 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$331 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$191 Обс.
1%
28°C
$286 Обс.
2%
29°C
$220 Обс.
15%
30°C
$803 Обс.
24%
31°C
$372 Обс.
41%
32°C
$583 Обс.
14%
33°C
$295 Обс.
5%
34°C
$500 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$697 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,186Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,186Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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