Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on July 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 16?
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
46%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
27°C or below
$426 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$422 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$79 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$474 Обс.
1%
31°C
$675 Обс.
5%
32°C
$556 Обс.
14%
33°C
$507 Обс.
46%
34°C
$39 Обс.
27%
35°C
$13 Обс.
8%
36°C
$15 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$34 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,238Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,238Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання