Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
35°C or higher 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
35%
35°C or higher 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$196 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$201 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$842 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$500 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$579 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$441 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$543 Обс.
2%
32°C
$488 Обс.
9%
33°C
$1,317 Обс.
19%
34°C
$699 Обс.
33%
35°C or higher
$2,118 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,925Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,925Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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