Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 16?
27°C 40%
26°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
33%
27°C
40%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
$452 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$123 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$237 Обс.
1%
24°C
$188 Обс.
2%
25°C
$62 Обс.
13%
26°C
$303 Обс.
33%
27°C
$3,506 Обс.
40%
28°C
$83 Обс.
15%
29°C
$73 Обс.
3%
30°C
$92 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$694 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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