Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on July 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 17?
64-65°F 55%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 36%
70-71°F 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
55%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
28%
82°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 55%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 36%
70-71°F 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
63°F or below
$37 Обс.
9%
64-65°F
$37 Обс.
55%
66-67°F
$5 Обс.
32%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
33%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
36%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
36%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
36%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
36%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
33%
80-81°F
$15 Обс.
28%
82°F or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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