Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
35°C 42%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.4%
НОВЕ
$11,325 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,325 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
42%
36°C
30%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.4%
НОВЕ
$11,325 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,325 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
$207 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$255 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,669 Обс.
1%
33°C
$2,513 Обс.
6%
34°C
$2,350 Обс.
15%
35°C
$1,014 Обс.
42%
36°C
$1,055 Обс.
30%
37°C
$1,171 Обс.
11%
38°C
$387 Обс.
1%
39°C
$395 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$345 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,325Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,325Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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