Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on July 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 21?
26°C 46%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 4.0%
НОВЕ
$27,931 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,931 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
25%
26°C
46%
27°C
22%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 4.0%
НОВЕ
$27,931 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,931 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
21°C or below
$215 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$569 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,360 Обс.
1%
24°C
$4,088 Обс.
4%
25°C
$7,060 Обс.
25%
26°C
$8,565 Обс.
46%
27°C
$3,018 Обс.
22%
28°C
$1,510 Обс.
3%
29°C
$661 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$564 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$337 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,931Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,931Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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