Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 20?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 Обс.
$45,369 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 Обс.
$45,369 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
31°C or below
$2,382 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$5,008 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$13,365 Обс.
100%
34°C
$10,802 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$6,741 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$3,057 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$2,093 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$652 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$347 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$461 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$460 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,369Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45,369Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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