**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено20-25 minutes 50%
30+ minutes 45%
<5 minutes 44%
5-10 minutes 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
<5 minutes
44%
5-10 minutes
44%
10-15 minutes
44%
15-20 minutes
44%
20-25 minutes
50%
25-30 minutes
44%
30+ minutes
45%
20-25 minutes 50%
30+ minutes 45%
<5 minutes 44%
5-10 minutes 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 17, 2026
<5 minutes
$0 Обс.
44%
5-10 minutes
$0 Обс.
44%
10-15 minutes
$0 Обс.
44%
15-20 minutes
$0 Обс.
44%
20-25 minutes
$0 Обс.
50%
25-30 minutes
$0 Обс.
44%
30+ minutes
$0 Обс.
45%
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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