**Todd Blanche’s nomination as attorney general, formally transmitted to the Senate on June 8, 2026, faces a narrow confirmation path shaped by recent Republican internal tensions and the compressed timeline for a floor vote.** Blanche, serving as acting attorney general since April after Pam Bondi’s dismissal, previously won Senate confirmation as deputy attorney general in a 52-46 party-line vote in March 2025. Current trader pricing clusters tightly around 55 yes votes, a failed or withdrawn nomination by year-end, and nearby tallies near 56, reflecting uncertainty over whether enough Republican senators will support him despite Democratic opposition. Recent friction stems from Blanche’s association with a proposed $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” compensation fund that drew bipartisan criticism and was ultimately scrapped; several GOP members, including Judiciary Committee figures such as Thom Tillis, have signaled heightened scrutiny. With Democrats expected to vote no and committee rules allowing a single Republican hold to stall progress, the market reflects a closely contested outcome where modest shifts in caucus support or procedural delays could determine whether the nomination reaches a final tally near historic party-line levels or stalls before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено54 79%
49 78%
52 7%
53 3.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
1%
47
1%
48
1%
49
78%
50
1%
51
1%
52
7%
53
3%
54
79%
55
45%
56
44%
57
39%
58+
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
40%
54 79%
49 78%
52 7%
53 3.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
$28 Обс.
1%
47
$38 Обс.
1%
48
$28 Обс.
1%
49
$20 Обс.
78%
50
$38 Обс.
1%
51
$28 Обс.
1%
52
$38 Обс.
7%
53
$25 Обс.
3%
54
$43 Обс.
79%
55
$55 Обс.
45%
56
$63 Обс.
44%
57
$68 Обс.
39%
58+
$38 Обс.
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$43 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as attorney general, formally transmitted to the Senate on June 8, 2026, faces a narrow confirmation path shaped by recent Republican internal tensions and the compressed timeline for a floor vote.**
Blanche, serving as acting attorney general since April after Pam Bondi’s dismissal, previously won Senate confirmation as deputy attorney general in a 52-46 party-line vote in March 2025. Current trader pricing clusters tightly around 55 yes votes, a failed or withdrawn nomination by year-end, and nearby tallies near 56, reflecting uncertainty over whether enough Republican senators will support him despite Democratic opposition.
Recent friction stems from Blanche’s association with a proposed $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” compensation fund that drew bipartisan criticism and was ultimately scrapped; several GOP members, including Judiciary Committee figures such as Thom Tillis, have signaled heightened scrutiny. With Democrats expected to vote no and committee rules allowing a single Republican hold to stall progress, the market reflects a closely contested outcome where modest shifts in caucus support or procedural delays could determine whether the nomination reaches a final tally near historic party-line levels or stalls before December 31.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$549Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as attorney general, formally transmitted to the Senate on June 8, 2026, faces a narrow confirmation path shaped by recent Republican internal tensions and the compressed timeline for a floor vote.**
Blanche, serving as acting attorney general since April after Pam Bondi’s dismissal, previously won Senate confirmation as deputy attorney general in a 52-46 party-line vote in March 2025. Current trader pricing clusters tightly around 55 yes votes, a failed or withdrawn nomination by year-end, and nearby tallies near 56, reflecting uncertainty over whether enough Republican senators will support him despite Democratic opposition.
Recent friction stems from Blanche’s association with a proposed $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” compensation fund that drew bipartisan criticism and was ultimately scrapped; several GOP members, including Judiciary Committee figures such as Thom Tillis, have signaled heightened scrutiny. With Democrats expected to vote no and committee rules allowing a single Republican hold to stall progress, the market reflects a closely contested outcome where modest shifts in caucus support or procedural delays could determine whether the nomination reaches a final tally near historic party-line levels or stalls before December 31.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$549Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Todd Blanche’s nomination as attorney general, formally transmitted to the Senate on June 8, 2026, faces a narrow confirmation path shaped by recent Republican internal tensions and the compressed timeline for a floor vote.** Blanche, serving as acting attorney general since April after Pam Bondi’s dismissal, previously won Senate confirmation as deputy attorney general in a 52-46 party-line vote in March 2025. Current trader pricing clusters tightly around 55 yes votes, a failed or withdrawn nomination by year-end, and nearby tallies near 56, reflecting uncertainty over whether enough Republican senators will support him despite Democratic opposition. Recent friction stems from Blanche’s association with a proposed $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” compensation fund that drew bipartisan criticism and was ultimately scrapped; several GOP members, including Judiciary Committee figures such as Thom Tillis, have signaled heightened scrutiny. With Democrats expected to vote no and committee rules allowing a single Republican hold to stall progress, the market reflects a closely contested outcome where modest shifts in caucus support or procedural delays could determine whether the nomination reaches a final tally near historic party-line levels or stalls before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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