Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7-10 seat range, with most surveys clustering at 7-9. This reflects a modest decline from its 11 seats in the outgoing Knesset, driven by ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription and competition within the right-wing bloc. Shas released its candidate list in early September, featuring a reserve officer in a prominent position to address conscription sensitivities. Broader bloc projections show the Netanyahu-aligned parties falling short of a 61-seat majority, limiting Shas's coalition leverage while surplus-vote agreements and Arab-list dynamics add uncertainty to final seat allocations. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns closely with these averages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено8-9 42%
10-11 26%
12+ 20%
6-7 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6
5%
6-7
17%
8-9
42%
10-11
22%
12+
16%
8-9 42%
10-11 26%
12+ 20%
6-7 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$484 Обс.
5%
6-7
$1,390 Обс.
17%
8-9
$917 Обс.
42%
10-11
$721 Обс.
22%
12+
$1,493 Обс.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7-10 seat range, with most surveys clustering at 7-9. This reflects a modest decline from its 11 seats in the outgoing Knesset, driven by ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription and competition within the right-wing bloc. Shas released its candidate list in early September, featuring a reserve officer in a prominent position to address conscription sensitivities. Broader bloc projections show the Netanyahu-aligned parties falling short of a 61-seat majority, limiting Shas's coalition leverage while surplus-vote agreements and Arab-list dynamics add uncertainty to final seat allocations. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns closely with these averages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,006Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7-10 seat range, with most surveys clustering at 7-9. This reflects a modest decline from its 11 seats in the outgoing Knesset, driven by ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription and competition within the right-wing bloc. Shas released its candidate list in early September, featuring a reserve officer in a prominent position to address conscription sensitivities. Broader bloc projections show the Netanyahu-aligned parties falling short of a 61-seat majority, limiting Shas's coalition leverage while surplus-vote agreements and Arab-list dynamics add uncertainty to final seat allocations. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns closely with these averages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$5,006Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7-10 seat range, with most surveys clustering at 7-9. This reflects a modest decline from its 11 seats in the outgoing Knesset, driven by ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription and competition within the right-wing bloc. Shas released its candidate list in early September, featuring a reserve officer in a prominent position to address conscription sensitivities. Broader bloc projections show the Netanyahu-aligned parties falling short of a 61-seat majority, limiting Shas's coalition leverage while surplus-vote agreements and Arab-list dynamics add uncertainty to final seat allocations. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns closely with these averages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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