Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady gains from voters dissatisfied with the Likud-led government’s security record since October 7, 2023. Eisenkot’s military background and emphasis on an independent inquiry commission, governance reform, and national service have helped the centrist party overtake or match Likud in multiple surveys while drawing support from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats and competition among opposition factions for anti-Netanyahu voters further shape fragmentation, keeping outcomes clustered around 22–25 seats in current trader pricing. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling could still alter final results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено24-25 30%
22-23 27%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<20
12%
20-21
12%
22-23
25%
24-25
33%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
6%
24-25 30%
22-23 27%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$212 Обс.
12%
20-21
$417 Обс.
12%
22-23
$777 Обс.
25%
24-25
$831 Обс.
33%
26-27
$615 Обс.
16%
28-29
$282 Обс.
5%
30+
$5,715 Обс.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady gains from voters dissatisfied with the Likud-led government’s security record since October 7, 2023. Eisenkot’s military background and emphasis on an independent inquiry commission, governance reform, and national service have helped the centrist party overtake or match Likud in multiple surveys while drawing support from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats and competition among opposition factions for anti-Netanyahu voters further shape fragmentation, keeping outcomes clustered around 22–25 seats in current trader pricing. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling could still alter final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,850Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady gains from voters dissatisfied with the Likud-led government’s security record since October 7, 2023. Eisenkot’s military background and emphasis on an independent inquiry commission, governance reform, and national service have helped the centrist party overtake or match Likud in multiple surveys while drawing support from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats and competition among opposition factions for anti-Netanyahu voters further shape fragmentation, keeping outcomes clustered around 22–25 seats in current trader pricing. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling could still alter final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$8,850Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady gains from voters dissatisfied with the Likud-led government’s security record since October 7, 2023. Eisenkot’s military background and emphasis on an independent inquiry commission, governance reform, and national service have helped the centrist party overtake or match Likud in multiple surveys while drawing support from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats and competition among opposition factions for anti-Netanyahu voters further shape fragmentation, keeping outcomes clustered around 22–25 seats in current trader pricing. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling could still alter final results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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