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icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$191,658 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$191,658 Обс.

Polymarket

June 30

$59,471 Обс.

<1%

July 31

$217 Обс.

2%

December 31

$104,546 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$191,658
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$191,658
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«JD Vance out as VP by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 8%, далі «July 31» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «JD Vance out as VP by...?» згенерував $191.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «JD Vance out as VP by...?», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «JD Vance out as VP by...?» — «December 31» лише з 8%, а «July 31» — близько позаду з 2%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «JD Vance out as VP by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.