**Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 14 overnight low near 16–17°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with Beijing’s historical average of 16.4°C.** Stable high pressure and dry air favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without extreme drops, while light southerly or variable winds limit mixing that could raise minima. Trader sentiment splits between the 19°C+ bin (49%) and 9°C-or-below bin (48.5%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or model spread on boundary-layer cooling rates, even as specific mid-range outcomes (16–17°C at ~20.5% each) align with the latest guidance. Clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk through the period reduce the chance of anomalous warming or cooling. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be key updates for refining the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 85%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
85%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
25%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
85%
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 85%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
85%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
25%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$210 Обс.
14%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 14 overnight low near 16–17°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with Beijing’s historical average of 16.4°C.** Stable high pressure and dry air favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without extreme drops, while light southerly or variable winds limit mixing that could raise minima. Trader sentiment splits between the 19°C+ bin (49%) and 9°C-or-below bin (48.5%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or model spread on boundary-layer cooling rates, even as specific mid-range outcomes (16–17°C at ~20.5% each) align with the latest guidance. Clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk through the period reduce the chance of anomalous warming or cooling. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be key updates for refining the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$210Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 14 overnight low near 16–17°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with Beijing’s historical average of 16.4°C.** Stable high pressure and dry air favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without extreme drops, while light southerly or variable winds limit mixing that could raise minima. Trader sentiment splits between the 19°C+ bin (49%) and 9°C-or-below bin (48.5%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or model spread on boundary-layer cooling rates, even as specific mid-range outcomes (16–17°C at ~20.5% each) align with the latest guidance. Clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk through the period reduce the chance of anomalous warming or cooling. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be key updates for refining the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$210Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 14 overnight low near 16–17°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with Beijing’s historical average of 16.4°C.** Stable high pressure and dry air favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without extreme drops, while light southerly or variable winds limit mixing that could raise minima. Trader sentiment splits between the 19°C+ bin (49%) and 9°C-or-below bin (48.5%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or model spread on boundary-layer cooling rates, even as specific mid-range outcomes (16–17°C at ~20.5% each) align with the latest guidance. Clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk through the period reduce the chance of anomalous warming or cooling. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be key updates for refining the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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