**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's September 22 lowest temperature centers on overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity.** Multiple forecasts indicate a minimum near 26–27°C, with light southeast winds and dew points around 24–26°C limiting heat loss after daytime highs of 32–35°C. Recent model runs show scattered thunderstorms and 60–90% cloud cover through the night, which reduces clear-sky cooling compared with typical September conditions (historical average low ~23–24°C). The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 22?
21°C or below 90%
27°C 48%
25°C 47%
24°C 46%
21°C or below
90%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
40%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 90%
27°C 48%
25°C 47%
24°C 46%
21°C or below
90%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
40%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's September 22 lowest temperature centers on overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity.** Multiple forecasts indicate a minimum near 26–27°C, with light southeast winds and dew points around 24–26°C limiting heat loss after daytime highs of 32–35°C. Recent model runs show scattered thunderstorms and 60–90% cloud cover through the night, which reduces clear-sky cooling compared with typical September conditions (historical average low ~23–24°C). The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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