Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?

Sep 10

Sep 11

Sep 12

Sep 10

Sep 11

Sep 12

27°C 94%

26°C 6%

25°C 4%

24°C 1.1%

Polymarket

$28,936 Обс.

27°C 94%

26°C 6%

25°C 4%

24°C 1.1%

Polymarket

$28,936 Обс.

21°C or below

$188 Обс.

<1%

22°C

$817 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$2,382 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$4,392 Обс.

1%

25°C

$5,865 Обс.

4%

26°C

$5,596 Обс.

6%

27°C

$5,536 Обс.

87%

28°C

$3,767 Обс.

<1%

29°C

$135 Обс.

<1%

30°C

$116 Обс.

<1%

31°C or higher

$141 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent warm conditions across Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, with overnight lows holding near 27°C according to official forecasts and recent observational trends, underpin the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for that threshold as the daily minimum. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, combined with southerly flow patterns that have elevated monthly mean minimum temperatures above the 1991-2020 climatological average in recent Septembers, support this positioning. Hong Kong Observatory data show typical early-September minima around 24-25°C, but 2025's record-high seasonal mean minimum of 27.3°C illustrates the ongoing warming influence traders are pricing in. A rapid influx of cooler northeasterly air or unforecast heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25-26°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$28,936
Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent warm conditions across Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, with overnight lows holding near 27°C according to official forecasts and recent observational trends, underpin the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for that threshold as the daily minimum. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, combined with southerly flow patterns that have elevated monthly mean minimum temperatures above the 1991-2020 climatological average in recent Septembers, support this positioning. Hong Kong Observatory data show typical early-September minima around 24-25°C, but 2025's record-high seasonal mean minimum of 27.3°C illustrates the ongoing warming influence traders are pricing in. A rapid influx of cooler northeasterly air or unforecast heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25-26°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$28,936
Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?

42%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?

34%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?

100%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 87%, далі «26°C» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?» згенерував $28.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 8, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?» — «27°C» з 87%. Наступний — «26°C» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.