**Forecast uncertainty around Karachi's overnight low on September 21 drives the near-even split between the 23°C-or-below and 33°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each.** Late-September conditions in coastal Sindh typically feature moderated radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicating above-normal temperatures persisting into the period. Current numerical models cluster nighttime minima near 26–28°C, consistent with historical September baselines, yet small shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or urban heat effects can alter the recorded minimum at official stations. Traders weigh these variables alongside potential model divergence on dew-point suppression and sea-breeze timing, producing balanced probabilities across the distribution while the 27–28°C buckets capture the most likely central tendency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Karachi on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 21?
33°C or higher 96%
23°C or below 95%
27°C 40%
24°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
95%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
24%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
96%
33°C or higher 96%
23°C or below 95%
27°C 40%
24°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
95%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
39%
26°C
$0 Обс.
39%
27°C
$5 Обс.
24%
28°C
$0 Обс.
20%
29°C
$0 Обс.
39%
30°C
$0 Обс.
14%
31°C
$0 Обс.
3%
32°C
$0 Обс.
13%
33°C or higher
$0 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Karachi's overnight low on September 21 drives the near-even split between the 23°C-or-below and 33°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each.** Late-September conditions in coastal Sindh typically feature moderated radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicating above-normal temperatures persisting into the period. Current numerical models cluster nighttime minima near 26–28°C, consistent with historical September baselines, yet small shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or urban heat effects can alter the recorded minimum at official stations. Traders weigh these variables alongside potential model divergence on dew-point suppression and sea-breeze timing, producing balanced probabilities across the distribution while the 27–28°C buckets capture the most likely central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Karachi's overnight low on September 21 drives the near-even split between the 23°C-or-below and 33°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each.** Late-September conditions in coastal Sindh typically feature moderated radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicating above-normal temperatures persisting into the period. Current numerical models cluster nighttime minima near 26–28°C, consistent with historical September baselines, yet small shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or urban heat effects can alter the recorded minimum at official stations. Traders weigh these variables alongside potential model divergence on dew-point suppression and sea-breeze timing, producing balanced probabilities across the distribution while the 27–28°C buckets capture the most likely central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around Karachi's overnight low on September 21 drives the near-even split between the 23°C-or-below and 33°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each.** Late-September conditions in coastal Sindh typically feature moderated radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicating above-normal temperatures persisting into the period. Current numerical models cluster nighttime minima near 26–28°C, consistent with historical September baselines, yet small shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or urban heat effects can alter the recorded minimum at official stations. Traders weigh these variables alongside potential model divergence on dew-point suppression and sea-breeze timing, producing balanced probabilities across the distribution while the 27–28°C buckets capture the most likely central tendency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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