Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on August 19 points to overnight minima near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and keeps the lowest temperature from dropping further. Trader focus on 16–17°C outcomes (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the narrow spread in 48-hour model runs, where slight increases in cloud cover or a modest warm advection could lift the minimum by 1–2°C above climatological August averages of 13–14°C. Key variables include the timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, both of which will be refined by the next Met Office update cycle and high-resolution model output expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 19?
Lowest temperature in London on August 19?
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
10%
16°C
34%
17°C
40%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$5 Обс.
4%
14°C
$5 Обс.
11%
15°C
$0 Обс.
10%
16°C
$523 Обс.
34%
17°C
$429 Обс.
40%
18°C
$29 Обс.
14%
19°C
$4 Обс.
5%
20°C
$5 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on August 19 points to overnight minima near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and keeps the lowest temperature from dropping further. Trader focus on 16–17°C outcomes (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the narrow spread in 48-hour model runs, where slight increases in cloud cover or a modest warm advection could lift the minimum by 1–2°C above climatological August averages of 13–14°C. Key variables include the timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, both of which will be refined by the next Met Office update cycle and high-resolution model output expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,016Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on August 19 points to overnight minima near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and keeps the lowest temperature from dropping further. Trader focus on 16–17°C outcomes (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the narrow spread in 48-hour model runs, where slight increases in cloud cover or a modest warm advection could lift the minimum by 1–2°C above climatological August averages of 13–14°C. Key variables include the timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, both of which will be refined by the next Met Office update cycle and high-resolution model output expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,016Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on August 19 points to overnight minima near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and keeps the lowest temperature from dropping further. Trader focus on 16–17°C outcomes (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the narrow spread in 48-hour model runs, where slight increases in cloud cover or a modest warm advection could lift the minimum by 1–2°C above climatological August averages of 13–14°C. Key variables include the timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, both of which will be refined by the next Met Office update cycle and high-resolution model output expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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